The IMD had predicted the 2020 onset on June 5 but it has come four days earlier on June 1. The time of the monsoon’s arrival in Kerala … The weather office has forecast for a normal monsoon this year. On April 15, Madhavan Rajeevan, Secretary of Ministry of Earth Sciences forecast that monsoon rains this year are likely to be normal at 100 per cent of the long period average with a model error of 5 per cent. As monsoon arrives in Kerala on time, IMD predicts good monsoon for the country Releasing the second long-range forecast for monsoon 2020, Secretary Ministry of Earth Sciences Dr.Madhavan Nair Rajeevan today announced that the monsoons have kept it’s date with Kerala, having arrived in the state today. Earlier, IMD had forecast the onset of monsoon over Kerala on June 5. And once again, the Indian Meteorological Department's prediction was more or less on target. (3) Moderate Pre-Monsoon rainfall followed by early setting of SOUTH-WEST MONSOON -2020 is forecast between the second week of May and the first week of June, 2020. On the back of the forecast of normal monsoon in April, the agriculture ministry had already set a target of record foodgrain output (298 million tonnes) for 2020 … NEW DELHI: Southwest monsoon will be normal this year, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Wednesday in its forecast for the … All the onset conditions including rainfall, OLR … Thiruvananthapuram: The southwest monsoon is likely to hit Kerala on June 1, thanks to a cyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday. On May 28, IMD had issued a forecast, 'Conditions are very likely to become favourable from June 1, 2020, for the onset of southwest Monsoon over Kerala.' Rainfall between 96 to 104 per cent of the LPA are considered "normal" monsoon. Thereafter its progress remained very satisfactory. But the actual onset date fell within the accepted model error of plus or minus four days. Go live with Manorama Online App, the number one Malayalam News site on our mobiles and tablets. A pop up will open with all listed sites, select the option “ALLOW“, for the respective site under the status head to allow the notification. IMD Forecasts Normal 2020 Monsoon Season Across Country Monsoon is expected to hit Kerala's Thiruvananthapuram on June 1. Monsoon made the onset over Kerala on May 30th. The performance of Southwest Monsoon 2020 until now is steady and good. New Delhi: India is expected to see a "normal" monsoon this year, the government said on Wednesday in its forecast … May 16, 2020 On 15th May, the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD), has come out with the Monsoon 2020 forecast and it anticipates slight delay in monsoon onset over Kerala. Yellow alert has been declared in nine districts of Kerala including Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha, Kottayam, Ernakulam, Idukki, Malappuram and Kannur. The only time the prediction fell outside the model's accepted target circle since 2005, the year the statistical prediction technique was indigenously developed, was in 2015. Scroll down the page to the “Permission” section . The model based on Principal Component Regression technique uses the following six predictors: i) Minimum Temperature over North-west India, ii) Pre-monsoon rainfall peak over south Peninsula, iii) Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over south China Sea, (iv) Lower tropospheric zonal wind over southeast Indian ocean, (v) upper tropospheric zonal wind over the east equatorial Indian Ocean, and (vi) Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over south-west Pacific region. First look: India may have a good monsoon in 2020 Vinson Kurian January 23 | Updated on January 23, 2020 Published on January 23, 2020 Aerial image over the sea at sunset istock/nattrass Loading next story. © Copyright 2021 Manorama Online. Here click on the “Settings” tab of the Notification option. May 15, 2020. In its first monsoon forecast on April 15, the IMD had said the monsoon will be 100 per cent of the LPA. Ahead and behind the active stormy area are areas of suppressed convection and drier conditions. Photos Of Monsoon in Kerala 2020 (photo credit: Twitter) Trending on Oneindia. In 2017 and 2018, the IMD prediction was bang on. Skymet on May 30 had declared arrival of monsoon, but the IMD had differed, saying conditions were not ripe then for such an announcement. In 2018, the IMD said the monsoon will lash Kerala on May 29, and May 29 it was. The silent features are given below: Long Range Forecast issued on 15thApril 2020 Southwest monsoon seasonal (Jun-Sep) rainfall over country as is likely to be normal (96-104%). The "ONEINDIA" word mark and logo are owned by One.in Digitech Media Pvt. The IMD, in its onset date forecast on May 15, had said the monsoon is likely to hit the southern state on June 5, four days after its normal arrival. This is the second time this decade when the southwest monsoon has arrived on the dot, on June 1. In 2017, the IMD said the rains would come on May 30, and it came on that day. Thiruvananthapuram: The southwest monsoon has made an onset over Kerala, marking the commencement of the four-month long rainfall season, the India Meteorological Department confirmed on Monday. Most other years, the difference between the IMD date and the onset were two to three days. In a statement on Friday, the IMD set a date of June 5 whereas Skymet, on its website, has forecast May 28. 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